British defence giant BAE Systems witnessed a staggering £2 billion market value erosion as investors reacted to concerns over Elon Musk’s proposed government efficiency programme, which could potentially impact US military spending.
The FTSE 100 defence contractor’s shares tumbled 4.9 per cent to £12.27 on Friday after Bank of America analysts downgraded the stock to “underperform.” The dramatic shift in market sentiment stems from growing uncertainty surrounding Musk’s ambitious plan to slash federal spending by at least $2 trillion.
The Tesla billionaire, now appointed as an adviser in Donald Trump’s incoming administration, has been tasked with a sweeping mandate to streamline government operations, reduce regulations, and restructure federal agencies. This appointment has sent shockwaves through the defence sector, particularly affecting BAE Systems, which derives approximately 40 per cent of its £10.7 billion revenue from US operations.
Bank of America’s analysis, led by Benjamin Heelan, suggests potential contract changes could be on the horizon. The impact extended beyond BAE Systems, with FTSE 250 defence contractor QinetiQ Group also facing a downgrade. QinetiQ shares declined 3.5 per cent to 415¼p, despite the company having enjoyed a more than one-third value increase this year.
Goldman Sachs analysts have highlighted the challenges ahead, noting that meaningful government spending reductions would inevitably affect the defence sector, given the US defence budget’s current record levels. The market reaction marks a significant shift for UK defence stocks, which had previously benefited from increased military spending following conflicts in Ukraine and the Middle East.
Despite these market concerns, BAE Systems reported a robust order book of £69.8 billion at the start of the year, reflecting the global trend towards rearmament. The current market volatility suggests a potential realignment of defence sector valuations as investors digest the implications of possible US spending reforms.
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