
Sir Keir Starmer is preparing to overhaul NHS value for money protocols in a high-stakes move that could see Britain pour billions more into pharmaceutical spending. This comes amid escalating concerns that leading drug companies may withdraw operations from the UK unless the government raises the price threshold at which new medicines are approved for use in the health service.
The Prime Minister is considering the first ever rise to the price at which treatments are deemed cost-effective. Under current National Institute for Health and Care Excellence (Nice) guidelines, medicines are only approved if they cost less than £20000 to £30000 for each year of quality life they provide. Discussions suggest this could be raised to a bracket of £25000 to £35000, though industry leaders argue that the threshold would now exceed £56000 had it tracked inflation since its introduction in 1999.
This debate reignites as NHS medicines expenditure has shrunk to nine per cent of the health budget, from twelve per cent merely a decade ago—placing Britain at a relative disadvantage compared with other advanced economies. The percentage dedicated to medicines in the UK lags behind international standards, prompting ministers to consider reforms not merely as cost-raising but as an urgent investment in the country’s life sciences standing.
The government is under pressure from multiple fronts. Drug-makers, frustrated with stagnant pricing arrangements and soaring rebates, have scaled back investments and clinical trials. At the same time, American pressure is mounting, as President Trump intensifies demands for Britain to shoulder more of the global medicines bill and end what US officials describe as ‘freeloading’ at the expense of American consumers. Threats of new tariffs on pharmaceutical imports have added urgency to adjusting the NHS’s pricing approach.
Efforts led by business adviser Varun Chandra and science minister Lord Vallance focus on raising the cost threshold and amending Nice’s discount rate, potentially increasing the value NHS assigns to future health improvements. Meanwhile, Health Secretary Wes Streeting has proposed doubling the proportion of GDP allocated to medicines to 0.6 per cent within the next decade, with hopes for dual benefits of better patient outcomes and increased industry investment.
Yet a tug-of-war remains over how to fund these changes. NHS chiefs argue that paying more for drugs without extra resources could mean cuts to hospital beds and staff, directly impacting patient care. The Treasury faces preparing a budget rooted in higher taxes and insists there is no spare cash. Cabinet Secretary Sir Chris Wormald floated an even split, but both health and finance officials remain locked in disagreement—with Starmer expected to determine a final solution.
The government insists its door remains open to negotiation and is intent on preserving the UK’s position as a life sciences powerhouse. Ministers maintain their commitment to putting patients and taxpayers first, even as they navigate the complex trade-offs of short-term budget constraints and ambitious long-term promises for innovation and economic growth.
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