China Moves to Challenge Boeing and Airbus Dominance in Global Aviation Market

China’s state-owned Commercial Aircraft Corporation (Comac) is intensifying its efforts to disrupt the long-standing duopoly of Boeing and Airbus in the global aviation marketplace. The manufacturer’s C919 passenger jet, which commenced commercial operations in 2023, has established its presence on domestic routes through China’s major state carriers.

The strategic expansion gained momentum this month as China Eastern launched C919 flights between Hong Kong and Shanghai, marking the aircraft’s first regular commercial service outside mainland China. Comac’s deputy general manager of marketing and sales, Yang Yang, revealed ambitious plans to extend operations into South-east Asia by 2026, with European certification targeted as early as this year.

The C919 programme represents a crucial element in President Xi Jinping’s vision to elevate China’s technological capabilities. The timing appears opportune, as Boeing grapples with financial challenges and delivery delays, whilst both western manufacturers face engine and component shortages.

Industry projections from Airbus indicate a requirement for 42,430 new aircraft over the next two decades, with single-aisle aircraft comprising approximately 80 per cent of demand. Aviation consultancy IBA forecasts Comac’s monthly C919 production capacity to increase from one to 11 units by 2040, potentially delivering nearly 2,000 aircraft.

Significant hurdles remain, particularly regarding international certification and maintenance support networks. Whilst Comac has established new offices in Singapore and Hong Kong to boost its global presence, industry experts emphasise the considerable challenges in building comprehensive product support facilities to rival established manufacturers.

The C919’s reliance on western-manufactured components, including engines from Franco-American CFM International and auxiliary power units from US-based Honeywell, presents potential vulnerabilities. Political tensions, particularly with the United States, could impact future production capabilities and international expansion plans.

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