The US dollar catapulted to remarkable heights on Thursday, achieving a two-year peak against the euro and reaching an eight-month high against sterling, driven by robust American jobs data that reinforced confidence in the world’s largest economy.
The British pound, which dominated as the best-performing G10 currency against the dollar in the previous year, experienced a significant decline of 1.3 per cent, touching $1.2354, its lowest point since late April. The euro similarly faced pressure, dropping 0.9 per cent to $1.0267, marking its weakest position since November 2022.
Market sentiment reflects a growing conviction that the sustained US economic growth and persistent inflation will constrain the Federal Reserve’s ability to implement rapid interest rate reductions this year. This outlook has substantially bolstered the dollar’s appeal compared to other major currencies.
The dollar’s strength was particularly evident in the latest employment figures, which revealed new unemployment benefit applications had fallen to an eight-month low. Markets now anticipate the US central bank will implement a modest 0.43 percentage point rate reduction by the end of 2025.
The contrast with other economies is stark, as forecasts for the UK and Eurozone remain subdued. The Bank of England and European Central Bank are expected to implement more aggressive rate cuts of 0.59 and 1.08 percentage points respectively over the same period, reflecting their economies’ comparative weakness.
The situation for European currencies could face additional pressure as Russian gas flows through Ukraine to EU states ceased following the expiration of a five-year agreement. This development forces European nations to source more expensive LNG alternatives, potentially affecting their economic stability and currency strength in the months ahead.
Post Disclaimer
The following content has been published by Stockmark.IT. All information utilised in the creation of this communication has been gathered from publicly available sources that we consider reliable. Nevertheless, we cannot guarantee the accuracy or completeness of this communication.
This communication is intended solely for informational purposes and should not be construed as an offer, recommendation, solicitation, inducement, or invitation by or on behalf of the Company or any affiliates to engage in any investment activities. The opinions and views expressed by the authors are their own and do not necessarily reflect those of the Company, its affiliates, or any other third party.
The services and products mentioned in this communication may not be suitable for all recipients, by continuing to read this website and its content you agree to the terms of this disclaimer.