The world economy is projected to expand to an unprecedented $221 trillion over the next 15 years, driven predominantly by rapid growth in developing nations as they narrow the gap with established economies.
Fresh analysis from the Centre for Economics and Business Research (CEBR) reveals that Asian powerhouses are poised to reshape the global economic hierarchy. Indonesia is expected to vault into the world’s top 10 economies by 2039, surpassing both Italy and Spain, whilst Bangladesh’s remarkable ascent will see it climb from 37th to become the 21st largest economy.
The United Kingdom’s economic prospects appear robust, with forecasts suggesting its GDP will extend its lead over France to 25.2 per cent by 2039, up from the current 13.7 per cent gap. Though remaining smaller than Germany, the UK is set to maintain its position as the world’s sixth-largest economy.
India’s trajectory remains particularly noteworthy, with CEBR Senior Economist Pushpin Singh highlighting its path to becoming the world’s third $10 trillion economy by 2036. “India’s rise is underpinned by its expanding middle class, structural reforms, and strategic investments in infrastructure and green energy,” Singh explained.
Chinese growth faces headwinds despite recent stimulus measures, with the CEBR suggesting the world’s second-largest economy will not overtake the United States within the forecast period. Property sector challenges and weak domestic demand continue to plague Chinese economic expansion.
The research presents a stark contrast in fortunes, with Argentina’s global ranking expected to slip to 27th by 2039 from its current 23rd position, as President Javier Milei grapples with hyperinflation and fiscal reforms. At the other end of the spectrum, Tuvalu is projected to remain the world’s smallest economy by 2039.
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