
President Donald Trump has introduced a fresh 10 percent global tariff following a Supreme Court decision that struck down his previous trade levies, describing the ruling as “terrible” and criticising the justices who opposed his trade policy. The president announced the replacement measure shortly after the court invalidated the majority of global tariffs the White House had imposed during the previous year.
In a 6-3 decision, the court determined that the president had exceeded his constitutional authority. The ruling represented a significant victory for businesses and US states that had challenged the duties, potentially opening the door to billions of dollars in tariff refunds whilst simultaneously introducing fresh uncertainty into the global trade environment.
During remarks from the White House on Friday, Trump suggested that refunds would face protracted legal battles, indicating he expected the matter to remain in the courts for years. He stated his intention to utilise alternative legal mechanisms to advance his tariff agenda, which he maintains encourages domestic investment and manufacturing within the United States.
The legal challenge centred on import taxes Trump unveiled last year affecting goods from nearly every country worldwide. The tariffs initially targeted Mexico, Canada and China before expanding substantially to encompass dozens of trade partners on what the president termed “Liberation Day” last April.
The White House had relied upon the 1977 International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA), which grants the president authority to “regulate” trade in response to an emergency. However, the measures provoked widespread criticism domestically and internationally from firms confronting an abrupt increase in taxes on shipments entering the US, fuelling concerns that the levies would drive higher consumer prices.
Lawyers representing the challenging states and small businesses argued before the court that the legislation used by the president to impose the levies made no reference to the word “tariffs”. They contended that Congress had not intended to surrender its taxation power or grant the president unlimited authority to discard existing trade agreements and tariff regulations.
Chief Justice John Roberts, a conservative, endorsed this interpretation in his opinion. He wrote that when Congress has delegated its tariff powers, it has done so in explicit terms and subject to strict limitations. Had Congress intended to convey the distinct and extraordinary power to impose tariffs, it would have done so expressly, as it consistently has in other tariff statutes, he noted.
The decision to invalidate the tariffs was supported by the court’s three liberal justices alongside two Trump-nominated justices, Amy Coney Barrett and Neil Gorsuch. Three conservative justices dissented: Clarence Thomas, Brett Kavanaugh and Samuel Alito.
At the White House, Trump stated he was “absolutely ashamed” of the Republican appointees who voted against his trade policy, describing them as “fools and lap dogs” and characterising their decision as “very unpatriotic and disloyal to our Constitution”.
Wall Street indices rose following the announcement, with the S&P 500 closing approximately 0.7 percent higher, as businesses across the US cautiously welcomed the ruling. Beth Benike, owner of Busy Baby products in Minnesota, which manufactures products in China, expressed feeling as though “a thousand-pound weight has been lifted off my chest”.
Nik Holm, chief executive of Terry Precision Cycling, one of the small businesses involved in the case, described the ruling as a “relief”. He noted that whilst it would take many months before supply chains returned to normal operation, the company looked forward to the government’s refund of these improperly collected duties.
The anticipated refunds and relief from tariff costs may prove elusive, however. On Friday, Trump signed a proclamation imposing the new 10 percent tariff under a previously unused provision known as Section 122, which grants authority to implement tariffs up to 15 percent for 150 days, after which Congressional approval becomes necessary. The measure will take effect on 24 February.
The order specifies various exemptions, including certain minerals, natural resources and fertilisers, some agricultural products such as oranges and beef, pharmaceuticals, some electronics and certain vehicles. For many categories of exempt goods, the order remains broad without specifically identifying which items might qualify for exemption.
Canada and Mexico will retain an exemption under the North American free trade pact, the USMCA, covering the vast majority of goods. A White House official indicated that countries that concluded trade deals with the US, including the United Kingdom, India and the European Union, will now face the global 10 percent tariff under Section 122 rather than the tariff rate they had previously negotiated. The Trump administration expects those countries to continue abiding by the concessions they had agreed to under the trade deals.
Analysts anticipate the White House will also consider other instruments, such as Section 232 and Section 301, which permit import taxes to address national security risks and unfair trade practices. Trump has previously employed those tools for tariffs, including some announced last year on sectors such as steel, aluminium and automobiles. Those measures remained unaffected by the court ruling.
Geoffrey Gertz, senior fellow at the Center for a New American Security in Washington, observed that things have only become more complicated and messy following the decision. Reaction by major trade partners was relatively subdued. European Commission spokesman Olof Gill wrote on social media that the Commission took note of the ruling by the US Supreme Court and was analysing it carefully.
The US has already collected at least 130 billion dollars in tariffs using the IEEPA law, according to the most recent government data. In recent weeks, hundreds of firms, including retailer Costco, aluminium producer Alcoa and food importers such as tuna brand Bumble Bee, have filed lawsuits contesting the tariffs in pursuit of refunds.
The majority decision does not directly address refunds, likely returning the question of how that process might function to the Court of International Trade. In his dissent, Justice Brett Kavanaugh warned the situation would be a “mess”.
Diane Swonk, chief economist at KPMG US, cautioned that the cost of litigation could make recouping funds difficult for smaller firms. She advised tempering expectations despite the understandable desire for relief.
Steve Becker, head of the law firm Pillsbury, suggested the best outcome for businesses would be if the government created a procedure that did not require filing a lawsuit. He stated that companies can be fairly confident they will receive their money back eventually, though how long it will take remains up to the government.
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