
Donald Trump is orchestrating a new phase in his trade war strategy, targeting Asian nations despite recently securing a deal with China. The US president’s latest moves aim to encircle Beijing with a complex network of tariff arrangements across the continent, including Japan, South Korea, Indonesia, Thailand and Cambodia.
The strategic expansion comes as Trump races to secure agreements throughout Asia, potentially limiting Xi Jinping’s capacity to utilise regional markets to sustain China’s export-driven economy. Recent deals with Britain and Vietnam have established precedents for Trump’s broader Asian strategy, with the UK agreement incorporating mechanisms to scrutinise Chinese investments and the Vietnamese deal implementing strict measures against transhipment practices.
Trump’s aggressive stance includes threats of substantial tariffs on multiple Southeast Asian nations unless they negotiate within a three-week window. The proposed levies range from 25% on Malaysia to 36% on Thailand and Cambodia, reflecting his determination to tighten the economic noose around China.
Trade statistics illuminate Vietnam’s pivotal role in this strategy. Chinese machinery and electrical goods exports to Vietnam have surged from 17% to nearly 50% of total exports since 2017. The correlation between Vietnam’s Chinese imports and US exports suggests a pattern Trump aims to disrupt through targeted tariff policies.
Beijing’s response has been swift and forceful, with commerce ministry spokesman He Yongqian denouncing the US-Vietnam agreement as “unilateral bullying.” The Chinese strategy combines infrastructure investment through the Belt and Road Initiative with strategic control over critical industries like rare earth minerals and electric vehicle components.
The emerging battle for influence in Asia places regional economies in an increasingly precarious position, forced to navigate between Chinese investment promises and American tariff threats. The outcome of this economic tug-of-war could reshape global trade patterns and determine the future of China’s export-driven growth model.
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