
The latest UK government bond auctions have revealed a notable drop in investor appetite, with policy ambiguity and mounting political risks causing turbulence in the debt markets. Yields on gilts rose on Thursday after a nine-year bond auction struggled to attract bids, echoing weak demand seen earlier this week for five and thirty-year bonds. The Debt Management Office succeeded in raising £1.25bn from the nine-year issue, but at a higher cost and with a cover ratio of just 2.90, down from 3.32 in July’s sale of the same maturity. This diminished demand forced the government to accept a heightened interest rate for its borrowing.
Analysts point to a growing sense of investor impatience, driven by ongoing speculation over the direction of fiscal policy ahead of Chancellor Rachel Reeves’ significant budget later this November. Many investors are holding fire, awaiting clarity on how Reeves intends to respect established borrowing rules and restore confidence in the government’s fiscal credibility. The uncertainty has left the gilt market volatile, with political manoeuvring from figures like Manchester Mayor Andy Burnham adding fresh risks. His advocacy for a major council house building programme funded by increased borrowing and calls for sweeping nationalisation have unsettled the gilt market, raising fears over the potential for ballooning deficits and costlier government borrowing.
Markets currently perceive the UK as an underperformer amongst major economies, particularly as political infighting and leadership speculation compound economic policy uncertainty. Professor Costas Milas of the University of Liverpool notes that protracted debate over taxes and spending is fuelling policy instability, undermining business planning and consumer confidence. Should the government fail to present a credible budget, further downgrades of the UK’s sovereign credit rating may follow, as ratings agencies penalise fiscal uncertainty as harshly as ballooning deficits.
These jitters have pushed the yield on ten-year gilts to 4.726 percent, the highest since early September, while the thirty-year yield hovers near historic highs. At the heart of the recent gilt market turmoil is the sense that political risk now overshadows the safe haven status government bonds once enjoyed. Until the budget brings concrete answers, investors may continue demanding higher returns, reflecting deepening doubts about the UK’s fiscal trajectory.
Elsewhere in the business landscape, both the Co-op and Jaguar Land Rover have suffered significant setbacks linked to recent cyber-attacks, highlighting the fragile intersection between economic security and operational resilience. The government faces growing calls to support key supply chains and build economic confidence as the country heads towards one of the most closely watched budgets in years.
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